WAR 3.0 Index

Live geopolitical conflict, scored 0–100.

0 100
96/100
🟥 CRITICAL
▼ 0.6 since yesterday
as of 2026-10-06

Theatres

Broader100
Hormuz99
Ukraine77

Top drivers

HOUTHIS BLAME SAUDI AIR STRIKES
BROADER · intensity 5.8 · 2d ago
US STRIKES IRANIAN AIR-DEFENSE SITES
HORMUZ · intensity 5.6 · 3d ago
IRAN WAR INTENSIFIES
HORMUZ · intensity 5.3 · 3d ago
FIVE KILLED IN ROADSIDE ATTACK
HORMUZ · intensity 5.3 · 3d ago
FIREFIGHT INTENSIFIES IN YEMEN
BROADER · intensity 5.0 · 3d ago

How it works

The WAR 3.0 Index scores live geopolitical conflict on a 0–100 scale. It reads vetted OSINT events, weights each by the Goldstein conflict scale (a peer-reviewed measure from academic conflict research), decays older events, and blends three theatres — Hormuz, Ukraine, and Broader — against a fixed statistical baseline so the number means the same thing over time.

Goldsteinevent intensity
EWMA decay3-day half-life
Fixed baselinecomparable over time
Hill-saturatedresists spam

Context, not advice. The index measures conflict intensity — it does not predict prices or tell you what to trade.

⚡ This index is free, ad-free, and built by one researcher.

No VC, no gov funding. If WAR 3.0 serves you, a tip keeps it live.

⚡ Support — tips@warheatmap.app