WAR 3.0 Index
Live geopolitical conflict, scored 0–100.
78/100
🟥 CRITICAL
▼ 2.3 since yesterday
as of 2026-06-06
Theatres
Hormuz99
Ukraine47
Broader29
Top drivers
IRAN SEIZES TANKER OCEAN KOI
IRAN STRIKES US NAVAL, MILITARY ASSETS ACROSS REGION
IRAN RETALIATORY STRIKES
OMAN MINA AL FAHAL TERMINAL STRUCK — HALTED, THEN RESUMED
IRAN STRIKES KUWAIT AIRPORT — 1 KILLED, TEHRAN NOW DENIES
How it works
The WAR 3.0 Index scores live geopolitical conflict on a 0–100 scale. It reads vetted OSINT events, weights each by the Goldstein conflict scale (a peer-reviewed measure from academic conflict research), decays older events, and blends three theatres — Hormuz, Ukraine, and Broader — against a fixed statistical baseline so the number means the same thing over time.
Goldsteinevent intensity
EWMA decay3-day half-life
Fixed baselinecomparable over time
Hill-saturatedresists spam
Context, not advice. The index measures conflict intensity — it does not predict prices or tell you what to trade.
⚡ This index is free, ad-free, and built by one researcher.
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